5053201 (original text)
|Subject||[alpha] INSIGHT - SYRIA - Army purges|
|Date||Jul 18, 2011 21:45|
|Released||Mar 15, 2012 20:00|
ATTRIBUTION: Stratfor military source in the region
Lebanese military source
Reliability : B
ITEM CREDIBILITY: 3
SOURCE HANDLER: Reva
I learned from Syrian military colleagues that about 3,000 Syrian troops
were executed since mid-March for refusing to open fire on protesters. A
similar number of troops have been arrested for the same reason. He says
many army defectors have fled to Turkey, Lebanon and al-Anbar in Iraq. The
likelihood of a military coup has become virtually impossible because the
Alawites and their Druze and Christian allies have completely eliminated
Sunnis from ranking positions. All army units have been placed under firm
control by pro-regime military commanders. The chief of staff of the
Syrian army Daoud Naf'a, who is Christian, has no control over the army.
Naf'a is believed to have entered in a dialogue with U.S. officials and
has, thus, become suspect.
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