I don't know how he knows, but WITSEC had him in DC to meet with foreign
   intelligence officers during the nuclear summit.

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Reva Bhalla <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>
   Date: Thu, 22 Apr 2010 20:50:03 -0400
   To: burton@stratfor.com<burton@stratfor.com>
   Cc: Marko Papic<marko.papic@stratfor.com>; Secure
   List<secure@stratfor.com>
   Subject: Re: Comrade J on Polish Plane Crash
   Comrade J still has the ability to communicate with ppl who would know
   something like that..?

   Sent from my iPhone
   On Apr 22, 2010, at 8:16 PM, "Fred Burton" <burton@stratfor.com> wrote:

     Interesting

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

     From: Marko Papic <marko.papic@stratfor.com>
     Date: Thu, 22 Apr 2010 16:55:53 -0600
     To: Fred Burton<burton@stratfor.com>
     Cc: 'Secure List'<secure@stratfor.com>
     Subject: Re: Comrade J on Polish Plane Crash
     This was actually one of the theories that one of my contacts also gave
     me. But the intention was not to kill Kacynzki, just make his life
     difficult by forcing him to land in Minsk and therefore miss the Katyn
     Massacre ceremonies set to begin in an hour from landing. But instead,
     the pilots tried to land anyways and crashed the flight.

     Fred Burton wrote:

       The Russians purposefully denied the aircraft the ability to land
       knowing that the Polish President would either force the pilot to land
       based upon their own leadership analysis collection of the President's
       m.o.; or the plane would return and not land at the location. 
        
       He claims purposeful act.  His words not mine. 
        
       Reportedly, the Russians have similar plans (scenarios) for other
       foreign leaders that can be pulled off the shelf if desired by
       Putin/FSB.
        
       Follow up questions welcomed. 
        
        
        
        

 --
 
 Marko Papic

 STRATFOR
 Geopol Analyst - Eurasia
 700 Lavaca Street, Suite 900
 Austin, TX 78701 - U.S.A
 TEL: + 1-512-744-4094
 FAX: + 1-512-744-4334
 marko.papic@stratfor.com
 www.stratfor.com