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Email ID 274107 (original text)
SubjectRE: Confederation - Turkey
From
To bokhari@stratfor.com
DateMar 18, 2010 22:50
ReleasedMar 12, 2012 16:00
   I sent you an email summary that I had Reva give me so I could follow it
   better. Take a look at that and then let me know when you're available. I
   can do it in the next half hour if you can.

     ----------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Kamran Bokhari [mailto:bokhari@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Thursday, March 18, 2010 4:47 PM
   To: 'Meredith Friedman'
   Subject: RE: Confederation - Turkey

   That would be good. When did you want to meet on this?

    

   From: Meredith Friedman [mailto:mfriedman@stratfor.com]
   Sent: March-18-10 5:27 PM
   To: 'Kamran Bokhari'
   Subject: RE: Confederation - Turkey

    

   I hadn't planned for Reva to have contact with potential confederation
   issues until pretty much the last minute when we hadn't gotten anywhere
   with your guy so actually asked her to call David when she was in Turkey.
   But I'd like to talk to you and fill you in on what she found out and who
   she met with there re confederation.

    

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Kamran Bokhari [mailto:bokhari@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Thursday, March 18, 2010 3:21 PM
   To: 'Meredith Friedman'
   Subject: RE: Confederation - Turkey

   Oh, ok. I wasn't aware of your dealings through Reva. I knew she was going
   to have source meetings but didn't know you had tasked her on
   confederation related issues.

    

   As to the issue of needing Sabah and Zaman, I think we need to have
   perspectives from both sides of the political faultline in Turkey. So we
   should go with both Hurriyet and one of the other two. Who would be
   handling Hurriyet?

    

   The other thing is that I have been pressing my contact on this quite a
   bit. And now if we pull back it will look bad. Kinda like what happened
   when I went to Turkey back in '07 and we were looking to hire a country
   director for the SRM project. I got a bunch of resumes and then that plan
   never materialized. It created an awkward situation.

    

   Whether we go with Sabah or Zaman I think we should approach this through
   my contact since he is a senior official and close to the leadership of
   both groups. Besides I have had him working on it well before Reva's trip.
    

    

   I can definitely delegate responsibility to someone else if need be and
   maintain oversight on the flow of information. Right now we are still
   struggling to get these deals operational. Once they are then it is just a
   matter of making sure every week that they are sending info and tasking
   them. Kinda like how I handle sources.

    

   From: Meredith Friedman [mailto:mfriedman@stratfor.com]
   Sent: March-18-10 3:56 PM
   To: 'Kamran Bokhari'
   Subject: RE: Confederation - Turkey

    

   I need to update you on Reva's meetings and our plans as well. I just got
   an email from David as I'd written to him last night. We are planning a
   trip there as well...early June.

    

   Basically I had Reva call David while she was there and they had dinner -
   I needed to know why the silence from him. He explained a lot about their
   problems and actually is now more comfortable in moving ahead with the
   collaboration. They have others as well so we're not the only one they're
   partnering with. So Reva met wtih him as well as with folks from Today's
   Zaman and Cihan the owners. Would we want Saban and Today's Zaman? I was
   pulling out all the plugs since we weren't getting any traction...now
   we're getting traction in all places it seems. I wonder if since Reva met
   with the Zaman guys so they know more about us already we should go with
   them? If you feel a need to follow through on Sabah as well we can do that
   too. As long as you can handle all these contacts/sources. Who works for
   you who could help on some of them? I have Lauren handing off the Kyiv
   Post to Eugene just because she has several other r'ships already. Is
   there someone in MESA we could train to handle a Sabah or Zaman under your
   oversight?

    

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Kamran Bokhari [mailto:bokhari@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Thursday, March 18, 2010 2:29 PM
   To: 'Meredith Friedman'
   Subject: RE: Confederation - Turkey

   Both Sabah and Zaman groups are pro-govt. My main Turkish contact (the
   adviser to the pm) suggested either of the two. He said he would first
   contact Sabah and if that didn't work he would go for Zaman. For now it
   seems like Sabah is working. I am all for having more than one. Hurriyet
   is actually much better qualitatively given that they have been around
   more longer. We will need to get with David Judson on that. I myself plan
   to be in Turkey for a week in May.

    

   From: Meredith Friedman [mailto:mfriedman@stratfor.com]
   Sent: March-18-10 3:01 PM
   To: 'Kamran Bokhari'
   Subject: RE: Confederation - Turkey

    

   Where does Sabah Group fit politically? Reva also met with folks at both
   Hurriyet and Today's Zaman so I'm looking at several partners in Turkey to
   balance out the information flow and keep any one side from thinking we're
   working against them by only partnering with the other side. Your
   thoughts? Who owns Sabah group do you know? We have Dogan who owns
   Hurriyet and others and Cihan News Agency who owns Today's Zaman and
   others.  

    

   --------------------------------------------------------------------------

   From: Kamran Bokhari [mailto:bokhari@stratfor.com]
   Sent: Thursday, March 18, 2010 1:35 PM
   To: 'Meredith Friedman'
   Subject: Confederation - Turkey

   Meredith, my contact emailed me saying that the Sabah Group is interested
   in our proposal and is discussing it internally and will soon get back to
   the contact. Meanwhile, I have not heard back from my guy at Dawn but I
   have pinged him again.
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